Carey Mulligan’s Oscar Chances

September 8, 2010 § Leave a comment

Before Never Let Me Go premiered stateside at Telluride, most prognosticators thought that film’s best chances for an acting nomination were with Keira Knightley‘s supporting turn.  But once reviews started hitting the web it became clear that Mulligan was the true star of the show.  Peter Sciretta of /Film says that she deserves a second nomination, with David Poland going as far as to call her a “lock” for Best Actress; even those who found the film disappointing (like Kris Tapley) applauded Mulligan’s performance.

I still think Knightley has a better shot at a nomination (Supporting Actress is really weak this year, while Actress is one of the strongest categories of all of them), and Mulligan’s performance has been described as “inward” and largely without dialogue (and we all know Oscar favors histrionics over subtlety).  As for the film itself, reactions have been positive to mixed with some calling it a masterpiece and others saying it left them cold.  So while it’s Best Picture chances might have lessened, I’m still keeping it in the top 10 especially since UK reviewers have loved the film and there’s a large block of British voters in the Academy (hence the recent nods for Atonement and An Education).

Trailer Park: “Black Swan”

August 18, 2010 § Leave a comment

aklzlknouanon!ljl!Lsladnflnd (my jaw hitting the keyboard)

Full disclosure: I’m a huge Natalie Portman fan, and I’ve been looking forward to this movie for months now so I might be a bit biased. Thankfully it seems that the rest of the blogosphere finds this trailer just as riveting as I do.  The Darren Aronofsky film, which based off of this footage has been described as both Kubrickian and Lynchian, stars Portman, Mila Kunis, Vincent Cassel, and Barbara Hershey and is a psychological thriller set in the high-stakes world of professional ballet.

As far as Oscar goes, it’s at the very least a lock for cinematography (which would be DP Matthew Libatique‘s first nomination, despite having done The Fountain and Requiem for a Dream).  It has a pretty distinct horror/thriller vibe, which Oscar only rarely goes for so Best Picture might be a stretch at this point.  That being said, Oscar went for more genre films than usual last year (Avatar, District 9, even Up) so it can’t be completely discounted.  As for Portman, I would still consider her a major contender for Best Actress even if the film dips into the horror genre.

The film hits theaters December 1 (after it shows at both Venice and Toronto)

Also, you can view the HD trailer at Apple. It’s worth it.

Trailer Park: “Love and Other Drugs”

August 14, 2010 § Leave a comment

This Edward Zwick film has been touted by bloggers and industry insiders alike as one of the awards season heavy-hitters, though the trailer presents it as a pretty straightforward (if enjoyable and well-made) romcom.  That doesn’t entirely discount it from being an Oscar contender but it definitely gives me second-thoughts about it’s overall potential.  As Awards Daily pointed out, the trailer has divided media outlets on this subject: Hollywood Elsewhere called Hathaway a “guaranteed lock” for Best Actress (with a 60% chance of a win) while Vulture dismissed the film’s Oscar chances entirely.  It looks like we’re just gonna have to wait until the first legit reviews start rolling in before we know for sure.

The film hits U.S. theaters on November 24.

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